Conventional wisdom holds that Japan is what nonproliferation specialists call a ?threshold? nuclear weapon state ? a country that could stage a nuclear breakout virtually overnight should its electorate and leadership resolve to do so. Estimates commonly bandied about run from six months to a year. Toshi Yoshihara and I take aim at such assumptions in Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age. Japanese bombmakers might manage a crude device within that timeframe, but that?s a far cry from a weapon ready for battlefield use.
Japan: Joining the Nuclear Weapons Club? It Could. ? The Naval Diplomat
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